GEOPOLITICAL
RISK INTELLIGENCE
Mechanism-based analysis across 217 countries. 7 proprietary algorithms with cross-algorithm interconnection. Probabilistic forecasting, contradiction detection, and irreversibility scoring.
EXISTING TOOLS MEASURE SENTIMENT.
CORVUS MODELS MECHANISMS.
Every competitor in geopolitical risk (GeoQuant, acquired by Fitch; Predata, DARPA-funded; BlackRock BGRI) relies on some combination of sentiment analysis and regression models. They tell you a number went up. They cannot tell you why, what drives it, whether it is reversible, or what happens next.
CORVUS is the only platform that models geopolitical risk the way physics models dynamical systems: through state vectors, phase transitions, eigenvalue decomposition, Bayesian networks, and information entropy. Not sentiment. Not vibes. Math.
ALWAYS COMPUTING
A 10-phase analytical pipeline processes 25 data sources continuously. Sub-3-minute execution across 217 countries.
Simulated output for demonstration purposes. Does not reflect live CORVUS data.
7 ALGORITHMS. CROSS-FEEDING.
EVERY SCORE ADJUSTS EVERY OTHER.
Cascade Fragility Index
How does a sovereign debt crisis in Argentina affect Turkey's banking sector? CFI models the cascade in 3 hops.
Temporal Entropy Divergence
When RT and BBC tell opposite stories about the same country, TED measures the divergence.
Economic Stress Tensor
Currency crisis or debt crisis? The eigenvalue tells you which failure mode dominates.
Regime Phase Transition
Critical slowing down. Variance amplification. Flickering. The physics of regime collapse.
Bayesian Conflict Onset
P(civil war | military buildup + rhetorical escalation + closing exits). Computed, not estimated.
Linguistic Escalation Gradient
10 languages. 4 layers. From diplomatic euphemism to explicit threat, quantified.
Probabilistic Hybrid Ensemble
Two genuinely different futures. PROPHET doesn't average them. It maps the fork.
Interconnection Fabric
Second-pass processing where each algorithm's output adjusts every other. Not parallel scoring; system-level reasoning.
Every score adjusts every other
7 algorithms feed through an interconnection fabric. A trade shock that triggers military mobilization is not the sum of two separate risks. It is a system-level cascade. CORVUS models it as one.
The only system that answers: Is this still fixable?
A country at risk 60 with no recovery pathway is more dangerous than a country at risk 80 that can still de-escalate. The Irreversibility Engine measures commitment lock-in, policy exhaustion, and diplomatic exit closure.
Where surprises live
Egypt 2010. Syria 2010. July 1914. The most dangerous situations are when signals disagree: rhetoric escalating while structural indicators stabilize. CORVUS detects 6 types of inter-signal contradictions, each mapped to historical precedent.
When surface indicators suggest stability but structural signals show rising stress, CORVUS classifies it as FALSE_STABILITY, the same pattern detected in Egypt 2010 and Syria 2010. This is the analytical depth that single-score systems cannot provide.
MORE DEPTH THAN WHAT FITCH ACQUIRED.
FULLY AUTOMATED. NO ANALYST BOTTLENECK.
CORVUS runs 7 interconnected algorithms vs. regression-based scoring. Adds contradiction detection, irreversibility, and bifurcated forecasting.
CORVUS identifies WHY: mechanisms, failure modes, causal patterns. Not just correlations from digital signals.
CORVUS covers 217 countries with full automation and per-country granularity. No expert-in-the-loop dependency.
Palantir requires $1M+ contracts and analyst teams. CORVUS deploys as a vertical product from $199/mo.
SEE THE SYSTEM
Request a demo to see CORVUS analyze real-world geopolitical risk in real time.
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